The country is considered a safe haven and global economic news is terrific. This would cause its currency to:

Question

BlackTom AI · Accepted Answer

Safe-haven status raises immediate demand for the country’s currency: investors move funds into its financial assets, bidding up the currency and causing an appreciation in the short run.

1) Relevant concepts
- Exchange rates reflect supply and demand for currencies; capital flows change demand quickly.  
- A “safe haven” attracts flight-to-safety capital during uncertainty, increasing demand for that currency.  
- Short-run exchange rate movements are driven by portfolio shifts and capital flows; long-run values reflect fundamentals (inflation, productivity, PPP, persistent trade balances) and may adjust differently.

2) Step-by-step reasoning
- If the country is perceived as a safe haven, global investors buy its assets (sovereign bonds, bank deposits, equities).  
- To buy those assets they must purchase the country’s currency, shifting the currency demand curve rightward.  
- Increased demand with roughly fixed short-run supply raises the currency’s market price (appreciation).  
- “Global economic news is terrific” further supports demand for assets tied to growth and may boost foreign investment into the country’s markets, reinforcing the appreciation effect.

3) Intermediate logic steps (no numeric calculation needed)
- Safe-haven → increased capital inflows → higher demand for domestic currency → currency appreciates.  
- Short-run: capital flows dominate; price levels and trade balances do not immediately offset the movement.

4) Why the correct answer is correct
The immediate mechanism is capital inflows and stronger demand for the currency, so appreciation occurs in the short run.

5) Why other options are incorrect
- “Depreciate in short run”: contradicts the effect of increased demand from safe-haven flows.  
- “Appreciate in long run”: possible if fundamentals improve, but long-run equilibrium relies on slower forces (inflation, productivity) and is not the direct, immediate outcome.  
- “Depreciate in long run”: unlikely given the described inflows and positive news; long-run depreciation would require persistent adverse fundamentals.

Conclusion: The currency will appreciate in the short run, which matches the provided answer: appreciate in short run.

The country is considered a safe haven and global economic news is terrific. This would cause its currency to:单项选择题

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