Consider the following scenario: “You are asked to guess the position of a coin that is thrown to a pound. You are given two pieces of information: 1) the person throwing the coin is aiming at the middle of the pond, and 2) you can see the positions of the splashes that the coin makes when falling in the water.” What’s your best guess about where the coin fell?单项选择题

A

The coin fell exactly in the middle of the splashes.

B

The coin fell in the middle of the pond because that’s what the person throwing the coin is aiming for.

C

The coin fell somewhere between the middle of the pond and the middle of the splashes.

D

It’s hard to say because the thrower isn’t very accurate, and the splashes are a bit random too.

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