What is the main purpose of Monte Carlo Simulation in project risk assessment?单项选择题
A
To generate a single best estimate for project NPV
B
To randomly simulate thousands of possible project outcomes based on probability distributions
C
To determine the exact discount rate that eliminates risk
D
To compare two projects with different lifespans
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Consider the following distribution: Demand Frequency 0 0.15 1 0.30 2 0.25 3 0.15 4 0.15 Random numbers are represented by ri, where 0 <= ri <= 1 i = 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, … Please also consider this following sequence of random numbers: r1 = 0.36; r2 = 0.79; r3 = 0.75; r4 = 0.54; and r5 = 0.72 Please indicate which one of the following options would represent the demand value in case the simulation begins with the first random number.
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Which of the following best describes Monte Carlo simulation?
Pedersen Industries wants to initiate a new project. To facilitate the project, an increase in cash of $20,000 will be required and the firm needs to build up $15,000 in inventory. The firm is expecting revenues of $500,000 per year and cost of goods sold (COGS) of $400,000. Pedersen Industries is expecting that Accounts Receivables (AR) will account for 5% of annual sales and Accounts Payables (AP) will account for 10% of COGS. All these changes will occur in year t=1. What is the incremental cash flow effect from the change in Net Working Capital (NWC) in year 1?
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